One year has passed since the DyRes System project, funded by the Science Fund of the Republic of Serbia, has started. To facilitate the discussion upon the progress achieved by the team members, with the wider scientific and expert community, live event and open discussion were organized by the Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade and IRTCUD Unesco’s centar 2 category via the Zoom application.
Briefly, DyRes System addresses the challenges of supporting the risk assessment of complex water systems. The project proposes the use of a system approach to enhance the predictive power in resilience assessment of water systems, environment, and infrastructure beyond the largest recorded events. The main objective of the proposed research is the development of a modelling framework for dynamic resilience assessment. The modelling framework will underpin investment decisions within the different sectors (e.g. water, hydroenergy, environmental sectors) for adaptation schemes under the uncertain changes in our environment (e.g. variable climate, natural disasters).
The mid-term meeting was divided into two parts. First, a live even was organized to enable participants to follow presentations of the project members and guest speakers. Next, open discussion among the team members, guest speakers and participants took place. To ensure a wide communication of the research activities participants from different sectors (public enterprises, academia, students etc. ) were invited.
Opening statements were given by Head of the Department of the Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, professor Dušan Prodanović and by Ljiljana Janković. Prof Prodanović presented the Department and Institute of the Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering while Mrs Janković provided a brief history of the IRTCUD Unesco center.
Afterwards, three eminent experts from the field of the Water system management elaborated on the present trends and state-of-the-art research in this growing research field. First, prof. Ana Mijić, director of the Centre for Systems Engineering and Innovation, Imperial College London, presented her current research projects related to the system modelling of the urban water systems. Second, retired prof. Branislav Đorđević, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, reflected upon the current state of the resilience of the Serbian water systems, highlighting a need for future investments due to the global climate impacts. Finally, retired prof. Marko Ivetić, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, presented an example of the STAMP (Systems-Theoretic Accident Model and Processes) model application in the analysis of the Serbian water systems, emphasizing the benefits of this approach over the traditional chain-of-events models.
In the final presentations, the principal coordinator and team members discussed achieved progress in the complex water system modelling framework, methodological aspects for the dynamic resilience assessment, case study and all challenges within the project. Milan Stojković (Principal Investigator, Jaroslav Černi Water Institute) discussed the overall progress achieved within the project scope, current dissemination activities and plans for the final year of the project. Damjan Ivetić (Team member, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade) presented a novel methodology for the Water system component failure modelling and briefly discussed currently developed disturbance scenario generator. Dragan Rakić (Team member, Faculty of Engineering, University of Kragujevac) described the application of the detailed finite-element based stability modelling of the dam, dam objects and surrounding terrain, for the purpose of the detection of the possible failure modes due to the various disturbance scenarios. Višnja Simić (Team member, Faculty of Science, University of Kragujevac) elaborated on the development of the software application intended for the statistical analysis of the Big-data along with the various visualization capabilities.
Damjan Ivetić